Report

Green shipping corridors: Screening first mover candidates for China’s coastal shipping based on energy use and technological feasibility

Greenhouse gas emissions from the maritime sector are rising, conflicting with the climate goals of the Paris Agreement. This sector has struggled to transition to zero or near-zero emission fuels due to regulatory and financial barriers. To address these challenges, the concept of green shipping corridors (GSCs) has emerged, aiming to overcome financial obstacles and accelerate innovation in decarbonization technology.

This study investigates the feasibility of establishing GSCs for China’s coastal shipping. Researchers assess whether the ships could be powered by renewable hydrogen, methanol, ammonia, or batteries without the need to refuel en route. Three routes were identified as potential first mover candidates for GSCs. Finally, to understand the cost of enabling these routes, researchers analyzed demand and cost of renewable marine fuels for the first zero-emission vessels to be deployed on these routes (Table ES).

Figure. Traffic patterns for the three hypothetical zero-emission vessels on the GSC routes

 

Key findings:

  • The technological feasibility of applying renewable marine fuels on China’s coastal shipping routes is high. The three first mover GSC routes analyzed could be served by ships running on renewable hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol without a need to refuel en route. Battery electric technology could be used for certain ships on shorter regional routes but currently has the lowest feasibility.   
  • To enable the first ZEVs on these routes, 6,000 tonnes of ammonia or methanol, or 900 tonnes of renewable hydrogen need to be sourced. This would likely result in the need to supply 44-60 GWh of renewable electricity by 2030.  
  • Policy guidelines are crucial for deploying more ZEVs in these corridors and achieving a meaningful reduction in greenhouse gases. The estimated cost of renewable hydrogen at the pump is $7.60/kg by 2030, significantly higher than conventional marine fuels. Reducing costs by 32% by 2050 will require substantial policy support to make GSCs viable on a larger scale.  

Table. Hypothetical activity for one zero-emission vessel on each GSC route, based on 2021 activity data

Fleets
China